Is This Just a Crypto Pullback — or Are We Entering a Bear Market? Here’s How to Tell

The crypto market is shaky right now.

Altcoins are red. Bitcoin dominance is rising. Fear is everywhere.

You’ve probably heard people saying:

“The bull run is over.”
“This is a bear market.”
“Altseason is dead.”

But is that really the case?

Or are we just in a normal retracement — setting up for Phase 3 of the bull cycle?

In this blog post, I’ll break down:

• The difference between a healthy retracement and a real bear trend
• Why I believe this is a setup for the next impulse move (Wave 3)
• Key technicals to watch
• How to use Fibonacci levels to confirm pullbacks
• And how I’m positioning myself inside the EPIQ Trading Floor

🧠 Retracement vs Bear Market — What’s the Difference?

Let’s start with basics:

• A retracement is a temporary pullback in an uptrend (think of it as a pit stop).
• A bear market is a full trend reversal — lower highs, lower lows, and sustained selling.

The key is structure — and whether price holds key levels or breaks them.

🔍 5 Signs You’re in a Retracement (Not a Bear Market)

1. Higher Timeframe Structure Still Bullish
   • Daily or weekly chart still showing higher lows
   • No major trendline breaks
2. Volume Drops on Pullback
   • Sellers are exiting, not dominating
   • No panic selling across the board
3. Altcoins Selling Off Harder Than BTC
   • Classic rotation during market reset
   • BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) rising = capital flight to safety, not full exit
4. No Major Macro Catalyst for Reversal
   • No systemic failure like Luna, FTX, etc.
   • Just fear, FUD, and over-leveraged long wipes
5. Support at Key Fibonacci Levels
   • Price holding 0.618 or 0.786 retracement = golden re-entry zones

📏 Why I’m Bullish: We’ve Hit the 78.60% Fib Retracement

Look at the charts — we’ve retraced almost exactly to the 0.786 level on many majors.

Historically, this is where:

• Weak hands get shaken out
• Sentiment flips bearish
• But the next major impulse move (Wave 3) begins

If we hold these zones, I believe we’re about to launch into the most explosive phase of the cycle — especially for mid/low caps.

This is textbook Elliott Wave behavior:

• Wave 1: First leg up (smart money entry)
• Wave 2: Retracement & consolidation (FUD + uncertainty)
• Wave 3: Biggest, longest, most powerful leg of the bull market (altseason begins)

Right now? We’re in the middle of Wave 2.
And that means the opportunity of Wave 3 is just ahead.

🤯 Why Most Traders Are Panicking Right Now (And Why That’s Bullish)

Retail traders get shaken out at the worst possible moment. Here’s why:

• They’re trading based on emotion, not structure
• They follow headlines instead of smart money behavior
• They ignore key Fibonacci and trendline support zones
• They sell bottoms and buy tops
• They listen to “this time is different” FUD every cycle

Truth is — pullbacks are where the real money is made.

It’s not about calling exact bottoms.
It’s about knowing what’s likely to happen when fear is maxed out.

🔎 What to Watch to Confirm a Bullish Reversal

Here’s what I’m watching for inside EPIQ:

• ✅ Price reclaiming key EMAs (21 & 50 on the 4H and Daily)
• ✅ Bullish divergence forming on RSI or MACD
• ✅ Bitcoin dominance peaking (signaling altcoin strength soon)
• ✅ Return of volume on green candles
• ✅ BTC holding above 0.786 retracement and bouncing on strong volume
• ✅ Strong projects leading the bounce (e.g., ETH, SOL, LINK, AVAX)

If these conditions are met — I’m going full conviction.

🧭 My Strategy Right Now

Inside the EPIQ Trading Floor, we’re not panicking — we’re positioning.

Here’s what I’m doing personally:

• ✅ Scaling into spot entries on key support levels
• ✅ Waiting for confirmation before deploying leverage
• ✅ Watching BTC.D and USDT.D dominance like a hawk
• ✅ Focusing on high-volume reversals on quality altcoins
• ✅ Updating our member-only altcoin watchlist weekly based on momentum, volume, and structure

🚀 Want to Know Which Altcoins Are Poised for Phase 3?

We’re tracking them every day inside the EPIQ Trading Floor.

When you join, you’ll get:

✅ Real-time trade setups and alerts (entries, stop loss, take profit)
✅ Macro dashboards showing smart money flows & sector rotations
✅ Live calls every Tuesday & Thursday
✅ Our proprietary altcoin watchlist for the upcoming supercycle
✅ Education on how to read fibs, reversals, and market psychology
✅ A powerful community with an 85%+ win rate over 7 months

🎯 Start your 3-day free trial now → epiqtradingfloor.com
We’re not guessing. We’re tracking, planning, and executing with confidence.

⚠️ Disclaimer:

This blog is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency is risky and volatile. Always do your own research before investing or trading.