June 2025 has been a month of consolidation, uncertainty, and quiet confidence in the crypto space, especially for Bitcoin. Despite global turbulence and fading hype from the ETF narratives earlier this year, Bitcoin is holding strong above $100,000, and the charts are painting a very clear story.
In this blog, we’ll break down the price action, volume patterns, key technical levels, macroeconomic influences, and what we believe Bitcoin could do next going into July. We’ll also show how this sets the stage for potential altcoin momentum, and how EPIQ Trading Floor can help you navigate the coming wave.
🔍 Bitcoin’s June 2025 Performance: Calm Before the Storm?
Throughout June, Bitcoin’s price moved within a tightly held range between $99,000 and $112,000, showing relative strength despite macroeconomic uncertainty and global political tensions (like the recent Israel–Iran escalations). While some view this as a sign of market indecision, seasoned traders recognize this as classic accumulation, especially with lower time-frame volume declining.
Technical Breakdown:
- Support Zones:
- $100,000 (key psychological & EMA level)
- $92,000 (historical macro support from early 2024)
- Resistance Zones:
- $107,000–$111,000 (multi-week supply zone)
- Break of $112,000 opens path toward $120,000+
- Volume Analysis:
- Spot volume has dropped ~9% since May’s ATH rally
- Heatmaps show liquidity building just above $110k, likely fueling a breakout trap or legitimate markup.
Bitcoin hasn’t lost support. It’s just waiting for the next catalyst.
🧠 What Could Trigger the Next Move?
1. ETF Flows & Institutional Demand
Spot BTC ETFs from BlackRock, Fidelity, and others continue to see inflows, even during slow retail activity. This quiet institutional interest is often the kindling that sparks the next rally.
2. Macroeconomic Updates
- Fed commentary and potential rate cuts could fuel risk-on sentiment.
- Inflation cooling means more capital flowing into alternative stores of value, like BTC.
- If tensions in the Middle East escalate, Bitcoin could benefit as a digital hedge.
3. Liquidity Targets on the Chart
Order book data shows clear liquidity targets around $111,000–$115,000, meaning whales may push price there for stops before a real move begins. Whether it’s a fakeout or breakout depends on volume confirmation.
📅 July 2025 Outlook: Breakout or Breakdown?
| Scenario | What to Watch | Target Levels |
|---|---|---|
| Bullish | Break of $112k with volume | $120k → $130k wave |
| Neutral | Continued chop between $99k–$111k | Accumulation range |
| Bearish | Break below $100k support | Drop to $94k, possibly $92k |
If you’re bullish, July could be wave 3 of a new markup phase. If you’re bearish, you’ll want to see a clean rejection at $111k and a breakdown with increased volume to confirm distribution.
⚙️ Market Psychology Check: Where Are We Now?
- Sentiment: Most retail traders are undecided or leaning bearish due to slow movement.
- Smart Money: Accumulating quietly. They often move before the crowd.
- Fear & Greed Index: Hovering near neutral, perfect for surprise moves.
Historically, this kind of consolidation, especially after an ATH, is the pause before the storm. You don’t want to be late when the breakout happens.
📊 What This Means for Altcoins
Bitcoin dominance ($BTC.D) is starting to show signs of rolling over, and that could open the door for altcoin rotation. Watch for money flow into large-cap altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche first, then into mid and low caps. But remember, Bitcoin has to lead before the rest follow.
💥 Don’t Miss the Next Move… Join the EPIQ Trading Floor
If you’re tired of watching price go sideways and wondering when to strike, it’s time to upgrade your toolkit.
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- Macro dashboards for Bitcoin, Ethereum, dominance & volume
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- On-chain sentiment and liquidity updates BEFORE they hit the news
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please consult with a licensed advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading crypto and derivatives involves substantial risk.
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