¿Es sólo un retroceso de las criptomonedas o estamos entrando en un mercado bajista? Cómo saberlo

The crypto market is shaky right now.

Altcoins are red. Bitcoin dominance is rising. Fear is everywhere.

You’ve probably heard people saying:

“The bull run is over.”
“This is a bear market.”
“Altseason is dead.”

But is that really the case?

Or are we just in a normal retracement — setting up for Phase 3 of the bull cycle?

In this blog post, I’ll break down:

  • The difference between a healthy retracement and a real bear trend
  • Why I believe this is a setup for the next impulse move (Wave 3)
  • Key technicals to watch
  • How to use Fibonacci levels to confirm pullbacks
  • And how I’m positioning myself inside the EPIQ Trading Floor

🧠 Retracement vs Bear Market — What’s the Difference?

Let’s start with basics:

  • A retroceso is a temporary pullback in an uptrend (think of it as a pit stop).
  • A mercado bajista is a full trend reversal — lower highs, lower lows, and sustained selling.

La clave es structure — and whether price holds key levels or breaks them.


🔍 5 Signs You’re in a Retracement (Not a Bear Market)

  1. Higher Timeframe Structure Still Bullish
    • Daily or weekly chart still showing higher lows
    • No major trendline breaks
  2. Volume Drops on Pullback
    • Sellers are exiting, not dominating
    • No panic selling across the board
  3. Altcoins Selling Off Harder Than BTC
    • Classic rotation during market reset
    • BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) rising = capital flight to safety, not full exit
  4. No Major Macro Catalyst for Reversal
    • No systemic failure like Luna, FTX, etc.
    • Just fear, FUD, and over-leveraged long wipes
  5. Support at Key Fibonacci Levels
    • Price holding 0.618 or 0.786 retracement = golden re-entry zones

📏 Why I’m Bullish: We’ve Hit the 78.60% Fib Retracement

Look at the charts — we’ve retraced almost exactly to the 0.786 level on many majors.

Historically, this is where:

  • Weak hands get shaken out
  • Sentiment flips bearish
  • But the next major impulse move (Wave 3) begins

If we hold these zones, I believe we’re about to launch into the most explosive phase of the cycle — especially for mid/low caps.

This is textbook Elliott Wave behavior:

  • Wave 1: First leg up (smart money entry)
  • Wave 2: Retracement & consolidation (FUD + uncertainty)
  • Wave 3: Biggest, longest, most powerful leg of the bull market (altseason begins)

Right now? We’re in the middle of Wave 2.
And that means the opportunity of Wave 3 is just ahead.


🤯 Why Most Traders Are Panicking Right Now (And Why That’s Bullish)

Retail traders get shaken out at the worst possible moment. Here’s why:

  • They’re trading based on emotion, not structure
  • They follow headlines instead of smart money behavior
  • They ignore key Fibonacci and trendline support zones
  • They sell bottoms and buy tops
  • They listen to “this time is different” FUD every cycle

Truth is — pullbacks are where the real money is made.

It’s not about calling exact bottoms.
It’s about knowing what’s likely to happen when fear is maxed out.


🔎 What to Watch to Confirm a Bullish Reversal

Here’s what I’m watching for inside EPIQ:

  • ✅ Price reclaiming key EMAs (21 & 50 on the 4H and Daily)
  • ✅ Bullish divergence forming on RSI or MACD
  • ✅ Bitcoin dominance peaking (signaling altcoin strength soon)
  • ✅ Return of volume on green candles
  • ✅ BTC holding above 0.786 retracement and bouncing on strong volume
  • ✅ Strong projects leading the bounce (e.g., ETH, SOL, LINK, AVAX)

If these conditions are met — I’m going full conviction.


🧭 My Strategy Right Now

Inside the EPIQ Trading Floor, we’re not panicking — we’re positioning.

Here’s what I’m doing personally:

  • ✅ Scaling into spot entries on key support levels
  • ✅ Waiting for confirmation before deploying leverage
  • ✅ Watching BTC.D and USDT.D dominance like a hawk
  • ✅ Focusing on high-volume reversals on quality altcoins
  • ✅ Updating our member-only altcoin watchlist weekly based on momentum, volume, and structure

🚀 Want to Know Which Altcoins Are Poised for Phase 3?

We’re tracking them every day inside the Parqué EPIQ.

Cuando te unas, obtendrás:

✅ Real-time trade setups and alerts (entries, stop loss, take profit)
✅ Macro dashboards showing smart money flows & sector rotations
✅ Live calls every Tuesday & Thursday
✅ Our proprietary altcoin watchlist for the upcoming supercycle
✅ Education on how to read fibs, reversals, and market psychology
✅ A powerful community with an 85%+ win rate over 7 months

🎯 Empieza ahora tu prueba gratuita de 3 días → epiqtradingfloor.com
We’re not guessing. We’re tracking, planning, and executing with confidence.


⚠️ Descargo de responsabilidad:

This blog is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency is risky and volatile. Always do your own research before investing or trading.

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EQ.Operaciones

Soy EQ, un trader con más de una década de experiencia en el trading. Desde 2021, he ayudado a más de 1.400 personas a convertirse en traders seguros y rentables. Lidero el EPIQ Trading Floor, una próspera comunidad centrada en la educación, las señales y las herramientas para el éxito en el trading. Aparte del trading, me apasionan los negocios, el marketing, la forma física y la creación de empresas creativas en los medios de comunicación y los juegos. Creo en el poder de la comunidad y en seguir avanzando para crecer personal y profesionalmente.

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